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Changes to ECMWF's grids in 2016

Author

Paul Dando

2016, Presentation

File

15398-changes-ecmwfs-grids-2016.pdf

Representing atmospheric model uncertainties: Applications in seasonal forecasts with CNRM-CM

Author

Lauriane Batte

Michel Déqué

2016, Poster

File

17043-representing-atmospheric-model-uncertainties-applications-seasonal-forecasts-cnrm-cm.pdf

AEMET-&-SREPS: Convection-permitting EPS

Author

Alfons Pallarès

J.A. Garcia-Moya

M. Compte

P. Escriba

Carlos Santos

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17044-aemet-sreps-convection-permitting-eps.pdf

Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Author

Shuyi Chen

Hannah Christensen

Brandon Kerns

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17045-predictability-and-model-uncertainty-mjo-convection-and-propagation-ecmwf-ifs-stochastic.pdf

Model uncertainty in representing midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability: a spectral perspective

Author

Alessandro Dell’Aquila

Susanna Corti

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17046-model-uncertainty-representing-midlatitude-atmospheric-synoptic-variability-spectral.pdf

Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

Author

Pieter De Meutter

Johan Camps

Andy Delcloo

Piet Termonia

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17057-uncertainty-quantification-atmospheric-transport-and-dispersion-backtracking-using-ensemble.pdf

Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Author

Peter Düben

Tim Palmer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17059-model-uncertainty-quantification-using-ultra-efficient-inexact-hardware.pdf

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Author

N. Gagnon

P.L. Houtekamer

X.-X. Deng

A. Erfani

M. Charron

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17062-review-perturbation-methods-meteorological-service-canada-msc-global-ensemble-prediction.pdf

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Author

Christina Klasa

Heini Wernli

Andre Walser

Marco Arpagaus

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17071-case-study-based-evaluation-stochastic-physics-effects-high-resolution-ensemble-cosmo-e.pdf

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Author

Chih-Hsin Li

Jing-Shan Hong

Xing-Qin Fang

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17072-evaluation-skebs-impact-wrf-based-mesoscale-ensemble-prediction-system.pdf

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Author

Ekaterina Machulskaya

Richard Keane

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17073-representation-model-error-using-stochastic-equation-flow-dependent-spatial-and-temporal.pdf

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Author

Dave MacLeod

Hannah Cloke

Florian Pappenberger

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17074-perturbing-hydrology-parameters-seasonal-forecasts.pdf

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Author

Nigel Roberts

Seonaid Dey

Giovanni Leoncini

Robert Plant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Author

Tobias Selz

George Craig

Lotte Bierdel

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

Using forecast temporal variability to evaluate model behaviour

Author

Carolyn Reynolds

E. Satterfield

C. Bishop

2016, Presentation

File

17081-using-forecast-temporal-variability-evaluate-model-behaviour.pdf

Earth System modelling for seamless prediction

Author

Roberto Buizza

2016, Presentation

File

17314-earth-system-modelling-seamless-prediction.pdf

Improving the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisation Tendencies (SPPT) scheme using High-Resolution Model Simulations

Author

Hannah Christensen

Sarah-Jane Lock

Andrew Dawson

Tim Palmer

2016, Presentation

File

16832-improving-stochastically-perturbed-parametrisation-tendenceis-sppt-scheme-using-high.pdf

Diagnosing systematic numerical weather prediction model bias over the Antarctic from short-term forecast tendencies

Author

Steven Cavallo

2016, Presentation

File

16731-diagnosing-systematic-numerical-weather-prediction-model-bias-over-antarctic-short-term.pdf

Using ensemble data assimilation to diagnose model uncertainty

Author

Elias Hólm

Munehiko Yamaguchi

2016, Presentation

File

16732-using-ensemble-data-assimilation-diagnose-model-uncertainty.pdf

Model uncertainty representations in the IFS

Author

Pirkka Ollinaho

Anton Beljaars

Thomas Haiden

2016, Presentation

File

16733-model-uncertainty-representations-ifs.pdf

Stochastic parameterization development in the NOAA/NCEP Global Forecast System

Author

Philip Pegion

Jeff Whitaker

Tom Hamill

Gary Bates

Maria Gehne

Walter Kolczynski

2016, Presentation

File

16741-stochastic-parameterization-development-noaancep-global-forecast-system.pdf

Model error representation in the Canadian Ensemble Prediction Systems

Author

Leo Separovic

Martin Charron

Amin Erfani

Normand Gagnon

Ayrton Zadra

Paul Vaillancourt

2016, Presentation

File

16742-model-error-representation-canadian-ensemble-prediction-systems.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Changes to ECMWF's grids in 2016

Representing atmospheric model uncertainties: Applications in seasonal forecasts with CNRM-CM

AEMET-&-SREPS: Convection-permitting EPS

Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Model uncertainty in representing midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability: a spectral perspective

Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Using forecast temporal variability to evaluate model behaviour

Earth System modelling for seamless prediction

Improving the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisation Tendencies (SPPT) scheme using High-Resolution Model Simulations

Diagnosing systematic numerical weather prediction model bias over the Antarctic from short-term forecast tendencies

Using ensemble data assimilation to diagnose model uncertainty

Model uncertainty representations in the IFS

Stochastic parameterization development in the NOAA/NCEP Global Forecast System

Model error representation in the Canadian Ensemble Prediction Systems

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